Modern Price Trends and Observations as of March 5th, 2014

It’s just a couple of days before the most anticipated event takes place this weekend which is Grand Prix Richmond and it’s highly likely that it would be a grand event. With almost 3000 players already registered as of March 4th, have decided to put an attendance cap to it of up to 5000 players max to ensure that everyone will be accommodated properly.

This aside, I’ve been monitoring the prices of some note-worthy cards for the past few days and I’d like to take the opportunity to share my findings with you in this article as well as my observations in the modern format.

Modern Price Trends and Observations as of March 5th, 2014

Modern Price Trends and Observations as of March 5th, 2014

Modern Price Trends and Observations as of March 5th, 2014

Modern Price Trends and Observations as of March 5th, 2014

There’s really nothing much to say about the Faerie pieces since no upward movement took place in the last week since Pro Tour Born of the Gods Valencia, especially that no copies of Bitterblossom made it in the top 8. Though, three players made it day two as what I mentioned in my previous article, it’s not enough to get Faerie pieces to spike as compared to the cards used by those who top 8ed the event.

Sadly, majority of the pros believe that Faeries just doesn’t have what it takes to be a dominant deck in the modern format. Also, most MTGO events only have at least one player using Faeries as a deck and nothing more as compared to the other archetypes. Based from this data, it’s very unlikely for the archetype to rebound this coming GP. On the other hand, the past MTGO events seem to be cluttered with Scapeshift, Pod, Twin variants, UR Storm and Robots with the occasional Jund variants.

This means that it would be the best time to sell your bitterblossoms. Unless you’re not going to use the green titan, might as well sell your copies though if Scapeshift decks make it to the top 8 of GP Richmond, not to mention a number of copies of Primeval Titan, it’s very likely that its price will spike big time. Then again, this is already obvious and is basically how things work in the M:tG economy.

Also, I found an interesting Faeries list that did NOT have any copies of the tribal enchantment and it looks sweet. The list seems built to deal with Faeries’ usual weak matchup which would be the aggressive decks.

Modern Price Trends and Observations as of February 5th, 2014

How about Zoo? Well, I didn’t really see much of it. With most decks having Anger of the Gods as tech and a lot of spot removals that efficiently deal with most of the creatures that Zoo decks have, it’s become challenging for the deck to keep up. Not to mention that a lot of the decks are good when it comes to dealing with gorillas, goyfs and lions and then suddenly combo-ing off a few turns later to seal the win.

Modern Price Trends and Observations as of March 5th, 2014

So, did Zoo suddenly become a bad deck choice? Of course not but with the resurgence of URW variants and other combo decks, it just became difficult to consistently kill opponents fast enough especially when their decks are built to kill most of the critters that you will be putting on the board. At the same time, with Jund or other similar decks being underrepresented, combo decks are not threatened by hand disruption unlike before hence they are more likely to pull up what they want to do every game.

As an added note, there’s also no Zoo deck that got in the top 8 in Mindstorm Games hobby shop, a local gaming center. For reference, here are the decks that top 8ed in the recent Tuesday event:

1st Place – Pao L. Robots/Affinity 4-1

2nd Place – Menard Q – Kiki Pod -4-1

3rd Place – Adan M – WU Control -3-1-1

4th Place – Ben C – Monogreen Devotion – 3-1-1

5th Place – Roberto G – RG Tron – 3-2

6th Place – Sunny A – UR Twin – 3-2

7th Place – Peter S – Merfolk 3-2

8th Place – Donovan B – Firemind Control 3-2

If there’s one archetype that I do find consistent though in this local gaming center, it’s the URW/UR decks as well as the pod decks.

Overall, the recent bannings/unbannings cause a series of changes in the modern format which used to be dominated by Jund decks. Combo decks seems to have been suppressed back then but with very few decks playing Thoughtseize and Inquisition as well as Liliana of the Veil, it’s very likely that combo decks will remain to be strong contenders in the modern format. Aggressive decks are still viable deck choices but now that most are utilizing Anger of the Gods, and other efficient mass and spot removals, they’ll probably have a hard time racing their opponents.

I guess that wraps up today’s article. It’s only a matter of time before the modern format shapes up and I’d be watching it closely. How about you? Any insights in how the modern format will shape up in the next few days to come?

Thanks for reading!

@ravenknives at Twitter

Raven Knives



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